On July 30, international oil prices edged slightly lower. By the close of trading, the September-delivery West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange fell by approximately 0.4% to settle at $81.25 per barrel, while the September Brent crude contract in London declined about 0.3% to $85.60 per barrel. The modest drop was driven by several factors.On one hand, lingering concerns over a global economic slowdown weighed on market sentiment, as recent manufacturing and services data from major economies showed signs of weakness, dampening investor confidence in future oil demand. On the other hand, although geopolitical tensions in the Middle East persist, no significant new escalations have emerged in the short term, leading to a slight retreat in risk premiums.Additionally, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported an unexpected build in U.S. commercial crude inventories last week, adding downward pressure on prices. However, voluntary production cuts by major oil exporters like Saudi Arabia continue to provide underlying support, limiting the extent of the decline.Overall, the oil market remains in a state of relative supply-demand balance. Traders are closely watching upcoming events—including the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, OPEC+’s future output policy, and key global economic indicators—to gauge the next directional move. In the near term, oil prices are expected to trade within a range-bound pattern.
7月30日，国际油价小幅回落。截至当日收盘，纽约商品交易所9月交割的西德克萨斯中质原油（WTI）期货价格下跌约0.4%，报每桶81.25美元；伦敦布伦特原油9月交割合约下跌约0.3%，收于每桶85.60美元。此次微跌主要受多重因素影响。一方面，市场对全球经济增长放缓的担忧持续存在，尤其是近期部分主要经济体公布的制造业和服务业数据表现疲软，削弱了投资者对原油需求前景的信心。另一方面，尽管中东地缘政治紧张局势仍存，但短期内未出现新的重大冲突升级，风险溢价有所回落。此外，美国能源信息署（EIA）最新数据显示，上周美国商业原油库存意外增加，也对油价构成一定压力。不过，沙特阿拉伯等主要产油国继续执行自愿减产措施，为市场提供了一定支撑，限制了油价的下行空间。总体来看，当前国际油价处于供需相对平衡的状态，市场正密切关注即将公布的美联储利率决议、OPEC+后续产量政策以及全球经济数据，以判断下一阶段走势。短期内，预计油价将维持区间震荡格局。
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