学者:日本欲成“能战国家”

Recently, several international relations scholars have noted that Japan is accelerating a strategic shift in its national security posture, moving away from its long-standing post-war policy of ‘exclusive defense’ toward becoming what some describe as a ‘combat-capable nation.’ This transformation is evident in multiple dimensions: first, the Japanese government has significantly increased its defense budget, aiming to raise it to over 2% of GDP within the next five years; second, it has revised three core security documents—including the National Security Strategy—explicitly identifying China, North Korea, and Russia as ‘strategic challenges’; third, it has relaxed restrictions on arms exports and deepened military cooperation with the U.S., the U.K., Australia, and others through joint exercises and forward deployments. Scholars argue that this policy shift not only deviates from the spirit of Japan’s pacifist constitution but could also intensify regional security dilemmas in Asia-Pacific. While Tokyo maintains these moves are necessary responses to an increasingly complex geopolitical environment, its growing militarization has raised serious concerns among neighboring countries. Experts urge Japan to reaffirm its commitment to peaceful development and play a constructive—not confrontational—role in regional security architecture.

近期,多位国际关系学者指出,日本正加速推进其国家安全战略转型,意图从战后长期奉行的‘专守防卫’政策转向建设所谓‘能战国家’。这一转变体现在多个层面:首先,日本政府大幅增加国防预算,计划在未来五年内将其提升至GDP的2%以上;其次,修订《国家安全保障战略》等三份核心文件,明确将中国、朝鲜和俄罗斯列为‘战略挑战’;再者,放宽武器出口限制,并加强与美、英、澳等国的军事合作,包括参与联合军演和前沿部署。学者们认为,这种政策调整不仅背离了日本和平宪法的精神,也可能加剧亚太地区的安全困境。尽管日本官方强调此举是为应对日益复杂的地缘政治环境,但其军事化倾向已引发邻国高度警惕。专家呼吁,日本应回归和平发展道路,在区域安全架构中发挥建设性而非对抗性作用。

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