专家:美对伊朗极限施压增加地区风险

Recently, numerous experts in international relations and Middle Eastern affairs have warned that the United States’ ongoing ‘maximum pressure’ strategy against Iran has not only failed to curb Tehran’s regional influence but has also heightened tensions and security risks across the Middle East. Since the U.S. unilaterally withdrew from the Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA) in 2018 and imposed severe sanctions, U.S.-Iran relations have steadily deteriorated, with repeated confrontations in the Persian Gulf and Iraq—bringing the two sides perilously close to direct military conflict.Analysts argue that the maximum pressure approach, which relies heavily on economic sanctions and military deterrence while neglecting diplomacy and multilateral engagement, has pushed Iran to adopt more aggressive countermeasures. These include exceeding certain limits set by the JCPOA and deepening strategic cooperation with countries like Russia and China. This escalating cycle of confrontation undermines regional stability and could trigger broader conflicts, threatening global energy security and geopolitical balance.Experts urge all relevant parties to revive dialogue mechanisms—either by restoring the JCPOA or negotiating a new multilateral framework—to resolve differences peacefully. They emphasize that only through constructive engagement, rather than unilateral coercion, can regional risks be genuinely reduced and long-term peace and security in the Middle East be achieved.

近期,多位国际关系与中东问题专家指出,美国对伊朗持续采取‘极限施压’策略,不仅未能有效遏制伊朗的地区影响力,反而加剧了中东地区的紧张局势与安全风险。自2018年美国单方面退出伊核协议并对伊朗实施严厉制裁以来,美伊关系持续恶化,双方在波斯湾、伊拉克等地多次发生摩擦,甚至一度濒临军事冲突边缘。专家分析认为,极限施压政策过度依赖经济制裁和军事威慑,忽视了外交对话与多边合作的重要性,导致伊朗采取更强硬的反制措施,包括突破伊核协议部分限制、加强与俄罗斯和中国等国的战略合作。这种对抗性循环不仅削弱了地区稳定,还可能引发更大范围的冲突,影响全球能源安全与地缘政治格局。此外,专家呼吁相关各方重启对话机制,通过恢复伊核协议或达成新的多边框架,以和平方式化解分歧。他们强调,唯有通过建设性接触而非单边施压,才能真正降低地区风险,推动中东走向长期和平与安全。

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