Recently, several Taiwanese experts in military and security affairs have offered in-depth analyses of the two major military exercises conducted by mainland China this year. Held earlier in the year and again mid-year, these large-scale, highly realistic drills are widely seen as clear responses to evolving cross-strait dynamics and external interference. Experts note that the exercises not only demonstrate a significant enhancement in the People’s Liberation Army’s joint operational capabilities but also reflect a strengthened strategic emphasis on ‘using military deterrence to advance reunification.’ Against the backdrop of frequent U.S.-Taiwan interactions and continued American arms sales to Taiwan, these drills—particularly the PLA’s routine circumnavigation and training near Taiwan—serve both to test multi-branch coordination and to send a firm warning against ‘Taiwan independence’ separatist forces. Some scholars emphasize that these exercises are not merely displays of force but integral components of Beijing’s broader Taiwan strategy, aimed at shaping a favorable strategic environment and steering cross-strait relations toward peaceful reunification. Nevertheless, concerns remain that frequent military activities could heighten regional tensions, prompting calls for restraint to avoid miscalculation. Overall, Taiwanese experts generally agree that mainland military exercises have become a pivotal factor influencing the security landscape across the Taiwan Strait, with future developments heavily contingent on cross-strait interactions and the trajectory of U.S.-China relations.
近期，台湾多位军事与安全领域专家就中国大陆今年举行的两次重大军演进行了深入分析。这两次军演分别于年初和年中展开，规模大、实战化程度高，被广泛视为对台海局势变化及外部干涉势力的明确回应。专家指出，大陆军演不仅展示了其联合作战能力的显著提升，也凸显了‘以武促统’战略思维的强化。尤其在美台互动频繁、美方持续对台军售背景下，解放军通过常态化绕台演训，既检验了多军种协同作战水平，也向‘台独’分裂势力释放出坚决反制的信号。有学者强调，此类军演并非单纯展示武力，而是大陆整体对台战略的一部分，旨在塑造有利的战略态势，同时推动两岸关系朝和平统一方向发展。然而，也有声音担忧，频繁军演可能加剧区域紧张，呼吁各方保持克制，避免误判。总体而言，台专家普遍认为，大陆军演已成为影响台海安全格局的关键变量，未来走向将高度依赖两岸互动及中美关系的演变。
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