Recently, Sheng Songcheng, Professor at China Europe International Business School and former Director-General of the Survey and Statistics Department of the People’s Bank of China, stated in a media interview that China cannot rule out further interest rate cuts in the future. He noted that the Chinese economy continues to face multiple challenges, including insufficient effective demand, adjustments in the real estate market, and growing external uncertainties. To stabilize economic growth and boost market confidence, there remains room for further monetary easing. Sheng emphasized that while rate cuts are not a panacea, they serve as a crucial countercyclical policy tool. Given currently low inflation and a relatively stable RMB exchange rate, moderate rate cuts could help reduce financing costs for the real economy and support business investment and household consumption. He also cautioned that policymaking must balance short-term growth stabilization with long-term structural reforms, avoiding excessive reliance on monetary stimulus. Overall, Sheng’s remarks reflect the careful balancing act between growth support and risk management in current macroeconomic policy, offering valuable insights into the likely direction of future monetary policy.
近日，中欧国际工商学院教授、中国人民银行原调查统计司司长盛松成在接受媒体采访时表示，未来中国不排除继续降息的可能性。他指出，当前中国经济仍面临有效需求不足、房地产市场调整以及外部环境不确定性增加等多重挑战。为稳定经济增长、提振市场信心，货币政策仍有进一步宽松的空间。盛松成强调，降息并非万能药，但作为逆周期调节的重要工具，在通胀水平较低、人民币汇率相对稳定的背景下，适度降息有助于降低实体经济融资成本，支持企业投资和居民消费。他还提醒，政策制定需兼顾短期稳增长与长期结构改革目标，避免过度依赖货币宽松。总体来看，盛松成的观点反映出当前宏观政策在稳增长与防风险之间的审慎平衡，也为市场对后续货币政策走向提供了重要参考。
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