Recently, numerous experts in international relations and security policy have pointed out that despite ongoing calls for ceasefire and peace talks, the path to a peaceful resolution of the Russia-Ukraine conflict remains deeply stalled. Since the full-scale war began in February 2022, both sides have shown significant divergence on core issues such as territory, security guarantees, and political status, with little substantive progress in negotiations. Analysts note that Ukraine insists on restoring its 1991 borders and demands a complete Russian troop withdrawal, while Russia seeks to legitimize its occupied territories and gain Western recognition of its security concerns. Furthermore, deep involvement by external actors—such as Western military aid to Ukraine and strategic support for Russia from its allies—has further complicated the situation. Although countries like Turkey and China have proposed peace initiatives, these efforts have yet to facilitate meaningful dialogue due to a lack of mutual trust and enforceable mechanisms. Experts warn that prolonged conflict could not only worsen the regional humanitarian crisis but also trigger broader geopolitical instability. Thus, establishing a credible multilateral negotiation framework and rebuilding basic trust are seen as essential prerequisites for breaking the current deadlock.
近期，多位国际关系与安全政策专家指出，尽管各方持续呼吁停火与和谈，俄乌冲突的和平解决之路仍深陷僵局。自2022年2月全面战争爆发以来，双方在领土、安全保障及政治地位等核心议题上分歧严重，缺乏实质性谈判进展。专家分析认为，乌克兰坚持恢复1991年边界并要求俄罗斯撤军，而俄方则试图将已占领土合法化，并寻求西方对其安全诉求的承认。此外，外部势力的深度介入——包括西方对乌军事援助与俄罗斯的战略盟友支持——进一步复杂化了局势。虽然土耳其、中国等国曾提出和平倡议，但因缺乏互信与执行机制，尚未促成有效对话。专家警告，若冲突长期化，不仅加剧地区人道危机，还可能引发更广泛的地缘政治动荡。因此，推动建立可信的多边谈判框架、重建基本互信，被视为打破当前僵局的关键前提。
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